I have just read an article in the Guardian online by George Montbiot saying that basically, peak oil isn't happening any time soon. Yay! Perhaps I will be able to afford diesel once more?
Montbiot says that with new investment, technological advances in extraction methods and exploration of oil reserves in Iraq and also North America, we'll have a lot more oil at our disposal- we're even looking at a new boom in production. Now, George rightly points out that for the last twenty or so years, environmentalists have been trying to get us to reduce carbon emissions and the like, via ethical and environmental arguments. They didn't really succeed, did they? More recently, some environmentalists have tried a new tack, that of economic pressure due to rising fuel costs hitting our pockets and purses hard. Part of this movement is of course, Transition Culture. When Rob Hopkins came to Lampeter in 2007, I remember him saying that he found people were generally more interested about what they put into their vehicle (fuel i.e. MONEY) than what came out their vehicle (emissions). Thus, Hopkin's logic was that rising fuel costs would anchor public engagement and in some cases lead to the adoption of Transition Culture.
I've been reading work by both Peter North and Bailey et al. on relocalisation*. North explains that intentional localisation (the production of food, energy, goods, services and currencies at a local level) is a fitting response to both peak oil and climate change. Intentional localisers would include Transitioners, Small is Beautiful advocates, anti supermarket campaigners and those participating in local currency schemes. Bailey et al. note that the peak oil arguments seem to be derived from a narrow range of literature. Crucially, perhaps, Bailey et al. point out that the precise timing of peak oil does not actually seem to bother intentional relocalisers, "The issue for relocalisation advocates, therefore, is not the timing of peak oil but the need to develop energy descent strategies to avert societal collapse." (Bailey, et al., 2009:4). Of course, peak oil is not the only threat
looming receding (depending on stance) and we certainly can hardly deny the need to curb carbon dioxide emissions- although some do try. My take on this is that intentional localisers want to get down and get gardening irrespective of whether the peak oil literatures are completely accurate, or not. I think this is a really vital point. Personally, I attempt to implement micro localisation strategies into my own life (for example, my sewing, knitting and crochet escapades as illustrated in my craft blog, The Awen of Papillon Noir) because, via Hopkins' peak oil arguments, I got the reskilling bug and now I can't stop. Meanwhile however, George Montbiot is at a loss, he ends his article saying that he can't bear to look his children in the eye anymore. Why? Because, I suppose, he was hoping that the peak oil crisis would be the wake up call he'd been waiting for and that it might be a big enough shock to galvanise, or indeed, force the public and governments into less environmentally destructive lifestyles and actions. So, he is perhaps expressing lack of faith that we could possibly be motivated to change by anything other than money. After all, we have tried the environmental ethical guilt trip for years, and failed, by and large.
This brings me back to Bailey et al. and also Hopkins who talk about the possibility of relocalising, resilience building and reskilling as being enjoyable. It has certainly been my own observation that intentional localisers seem happy to grow their own food, install solar panels and make more of what they need at home or in the community because... they just like it. Much of my crafting activities tick the relocalisation and resilience building boxes. I am relocalising production of many of the goods needed by myself and my family right back into my home. Much of my favourite fabric and yarn is at least manufactured in the UK. Half of the ingredients in my home made pot pourri are homegrown. These are baby steps but in a forward motion nonetheless. Yes, Transition Culture, resilience building and the threat of peak oil were big motivators. This is very true. But. The greatest motivator for me has always been pleasure. I really truly love making things. I adore gardening. It makes me happy. I know my fiancé is very contented when he makes his own cakes, chutneys and pickles. I doubt he's giving peak oil a second thought but he is merrily whistling away, pot on stove a bubblin', beetroot and rhubarb at the ready. Simple things do, it seems, make us happy. And happiness is a huge motivational force. So, perhaps we need not give up hope just yet. We might do well to set our sail toward what make our hearts sing because in some instances, this might unintentionally concur with the reduction of carbon dioxide emissions and the building of resilience.